The War Room · 2026
Denver Broncos offseason brief
The roster state the front office faced entering the offseason, reconstructed from last season's snaps and the contract ledger. Needs predict behavior; the risk bands are odds, never verdicts.
QB room · young-ascending
Young ascending starter on a rookie deal; the room is settled and QB drops off the need board.
Need board
Ten position groups ranked against the other 31 teams. Draft prior is the measured chance a team in this need state spends a top-100 pick there; corner priors deliberately ignore rank because corner drafting is need-insensitive, and the QB prior reads the room class above.
| Rank | Group | Need | Returning snaps | Cap committed | Age | Draft prior | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LB | +4.8 | 18% | 0.6% | 30.8 | 26% | starter returns |
| 2 | TE | +3.2 | 32% | 1.3% | 30.4 | 22% | |
| 3 | RB | +1.6 | 37% | 0.3% | 26.5 | 18% | |
| 4 | QB | -1.3 | 100% | 1.8% | 26.0 | 9% | |
| 5 | IDL | -1.4 | 77% | 4.9% | 28.9 | 17% | |
| 6 | ED | -2.0 | 81% | 3.8% | 27.4 | 21% | |
| 7 | WR | -2.3 | 94% | 3.2% | 26.3 | 39% | |
| 8 | OL | -2.5 | 88% | 5.6% | 29.7 | 32% | |
| 9 | S | -2.5 | 89% | 3.3% | 27.1 | 10% | |
| 10 | CB | -2.6 | 77% | 2.9% | 25.7 | 26% |
Own expiring contracts
Keep is the incumbent re-sign band; walk is the projected compensatory selection his departure earns two drafts out, gross of the net-loss formula.
| Player | Pos | Expiring cap | Gtd | Keep | Walk | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No expiring contracts in the scored class. | ||||||
Market targets
Free agents at this team's top-3 need groups, screened to external-buy bands below Severe. External buys keep under 80% of platform production 43% of the time; the band prices that ladder.
| Player | Pos | From | Expiring cap | External band | Forecast retention |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No scored free agents at the top need groups this class. | |||||
Built from the team needs ledger (validated against ten years of revealed draft and free-agency behavior) and the second-contract risk model. Odds, not verdicts. Browse the full free-agency class or return to the team page.