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The War Room · 2027
The roster state the front office faced entering the offseason, reconstructed from last season's snaps and the contract ledger. Needs predict behavior; the risk bands are odds, never verdicts.
QB room · young-ascending
Young ascending starter on a rookie deal; the room is settled and QB drops off the need board.
Ten position groups ranked against the other 31 teams. Draft prior is the measured chance a team in this need state spends a top-100 pick there; corner priors deliberately ignore rank because corner drafting is need-insensitive, and the QB prior reads the room class above.
| Rank | Group | Need | Returning snaps | Cap committed | Age | Draft prior | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TE | +3.3 | 36% | 0.7% | 30.8 | 22% | |
| 2 | S | +1.9 | 37% | 1.7% | 28.3 | 14% | |
| 3 | WR | +1.1 | 63% | 2.7% | 27.5 | 34% | |
| 4 | RB | -0.4 | 78% | 1.3% | 27.3 | 18% | |
| 5 | CB | -0.6 | 54% | 2.3% | 26.3 | 29% | |
| 6 | QB | -0.7 | 100% | 1.8% | 27.0 | 9% | |
| 7 | LB | -0.7 | 100% | 2.3% | 32.1 | 18% | |
| 8 | OL | -1.1 | 80% | 5.4% | 31.0 | 32% | |
| 9 | IDL | -1.6 | 76% | 4.1% | 29.5 | 25% | |
| 10 | ED | -2.0 | 83% | 3.2% | 26.5 | 22% |
Keep is the incumbent re-sign band. Contract structure and measured risk flags stay visible beside it.
| Player | Pos | Expiring cap | Gtd | Keep | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No expiring contracts in the scored class. | |||||
Free agents at this team's top-3 need groups, screened to external-buy bands below Severe. External buys keep under 80% of platform production 43% of the time; the band prices that ladder.
| Player | Pos | From | Expiring cap | External band | Forecast retention |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Delpit | S | CLE | 5.3% | High | n/a |
| Harrison Smith | S | MIN | 3.7% | High | n/a |
| Donovan Wilson | S | DAL | 3.1% | High | n/a |
| Chris Olave | WR | NO | 2.3% | High | 0.95 |
| Jordan Whitehead | S | TB | 1.8% |
Built from the team needs ledger (validated against ten years of revealed draft and free-agency behavior) and the second-contract risk model. Odds, not verdicts. Browse the full free-agency class or return to the team page.
| High |
| n/a |