Player / WR
Sterling Shepard
Regular season production, 2016 through 2025.
- Position
- WR
- Team
- TB
- Seasons
- 2016-2025
- Games
- 111
- 2025 Altitude
- 38Turbulence
- 2025 WR rank
- #72 of 120 WR
2025 Flight Log
Altitude is earned yards: every target priced at the league rate for its depth, with nothing awarded for the catch, shown as the historical percentile of every qualifying receiver game since 2016. It grades the opportunity a receiver earned, not what the offense converted. The band is the claim; differences between adjacent bands are often noise.
W1
68
Cruising
W2
34
Turbulence
W3
51
Level
W4
29
Turbulence
W5
50
Level
W6
36
Turbulence
W7
55
Level
W8
10
Turbulence
W10
41
Level
W11
56
Level
W12
39
Turbulence
W13
21
Turbulence
W14
6
Grounded
Season mean Altitude 38 across 13 qualifying games. Earned 31 yards a game; delivered 29.
Tracking profile
Separation describes how a receiver wins, not how much he will produce; yards after catch over expected is the one repeatable open-field skill here.
Separation
Headline3.43 yd
WR/TE median 2.97 yd
Track spans the middle 90% of 210 qualified seasons; the notch is the median.
Cushion
5.48 yd
WR/TE median 6.05 yd
Track spans the middle 90% of 210 qualified seasons; the notch is the median.
YAC over expected
-0.00 yd
WR/TE median +0.26 yd
Track spans the middle 90% of 210 qualified seasons; the notch is the median.
Air-yards share
17%
WR/TE median 26%
Track spans the middle 90% of 210 qualified seasons; the notch is the median.
Separation by season
2016
2.73 yd
2017
2.41 yd
2018
3.13 yd
2019
3.13 yd
2020
3.11 yd
2021
2.57 yd
2022
2.48 yd
2023
4.43 yd
2024
2.99 yd
2025
3.43 yd
Gap decomposition
Delivered production ran -2.3 yd/wk against earned opportunity this season. After-catch skill (xYAC -0.00/rec) is the persistent, portable slice of that gap; the rest tracks the offense around him, not the player.
League tracking aggregates; NFL-qualified weeks only.
Charting profile
A season of drops is mostly luck (year over year .15); never read drop rate as skill. YAC per reception is the strongest repeatable signal here.
Depth of target
8.5 yd
WR/TE median 8.0 yd
Track spans the middle 90% of 204 qualified seasons; the notch is the median.
YAC per reception
Headline3.80 yd
WR/TE median 4.60 yd
Track spans the middle 90% of 204 qualified seasons; the notch is the median.
Broken tackles
0.05/rec
WR/TE median 0.05/rec
Track spans the middle 90% of 204 qualified seasons; the notch is the median.
Drop rate
Context0.0%
WR/TE median 0.0%
Track spans the middle 90% of 204 qualified seasons; the notch is the median.
YAC per reception by season
2018
4.70 yd
2019
3.10 yd
2020
3.10 yd
2021
3.10 yd
2024
3.10 yd
2025
3.80 yd
PFR advanced charting, 2018 onward; qualified seasons only.
2025 / WR/TE
Position profile
Season splits from pre-aggregated charting views. Missing datasets stay hidden.
2025 percentiles
Against every qualifying WR and TE season in 2025. Metrics below their sample minimum say so instead of pretending.
EPA per target
12thpercentile
107 qualifying seasons
Receiving yards
13thpercentile
107 qualifying seasons
Yards after catch
26thpercentile
107 qualifying seasons
Career, season by season
Regular season only. Column definitions live in the glossary and at /explore.
| Season | Team | G | Targets | Receptions | Receiving yards | Rec TD | YAC | Rec EPA | EPA per target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | TB | 13 | 53 | 39 | 371 | 1 | 149 | -1.88 | -0.04 |
| 2024 | TB | 13 | 51 | 32 | 334 | 1 | 99 | 14.57 | 0.29 |
| 2023 | NYG | 10 | 22 | 10 | 57 | 1 | 33 | -11.14 | -0.51 |
| 2022 | NYG | 3 | 24 | 13 | 154 | 1 | 55 | -3.13 | -0.13 |
| 2021 | NYG | 7 | 53 | 36 | 366 | 1 | 111 | 1.82 | 0.03 |
| 2020 | NYG | 12 | 90 | 66 | 656 | 3 | 204 | 25.86 | 0.29 |
| 2019 | NYG | 10 | 83 | 57 | 576 | 3 | 179 | 6.45 | 0.08 |
| 2018 | NYG | 16 | 107 | 66 | 872 | 4 | 309 | 34.65 | 0.32 |
| 2017 | NYG | 11 | 84 | 59 | 731 | 2 | 295 | 29.80 | 0.35 |
| 2016 | NYG | 16 | 105 | 65 | 683 | 8 | 257 | 21.27 | 0.20 |
Data refreshed 1 day ago. Built on data from the nflverse project.