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Player / QB
Regular season production, 2015 through 2023.
Altitude is EPA per dropback with the luck taken out: interception plays priced as incompletions, sack-fumbles as clean sacks, shown as the historical percentile of every qualifying QB game since 2016. The band is the claim; differences between adjacent bands are often noise.
W13
2
Grounded
W15
24
Turbulence
W16
18
Turbulence
W17
23
Turbulence
W18
2
Grounded
Season mean Altitude 14 across 5 qualifying games. Rushing identity is not graded here; his baseline is 8 rushing yards a game.
Time to throw and aggressiveness are style axes that sit beside the Altitude score, never replace it; CPOE is the tracking-model completion skill.
Time to throw
Headline2.49s
QB median 2.80s
Track spans the middle 90% of 67 qualified seasons; the notch is the median.
Aggressiveness
17%
QB median 15%
Track spans the middle 90% of 67 qualified seasons; the notch is the median.
Air yards to sticks
-4.1 yd
QB median -1.1 yd
Track spans the middle 90% of 67 qualified seasons; the notch is the median.
Accuracy and pressure rates persist year over year (.43 to .48) but add nothing to predicting future clean EPA, so none of them enters the Altitude score; read them as style and environment.
Bad throw rate
Headline22.8%
QB median 16.0%
Track spans the middle 90% of 56 qualified seasons; the notch is the median.
On-target rate
66.9%
QB median 74.8%
Track spans the middle 90% of 56 qualified seasons; the notch is the median.
Pressure rate
16.8%
QB median 20.1%
2023 / QB
Season splits from pre-aggregated charting views. Missing datasets stay hidden.
Against every qualifying QB season in 2023. Metrics below their sample minimum say so instead of pretending.
EPA per dropback
Below the 200 dropbacks minimum in 2023.
CPOE
1stpercentile
42 qualifying seasons
Yards per attempt
1stpercentile
42 qualifying seasons
Regular season only. Column definitions live in the glossary and at /explore.
| Season | Team | G | Att | Cmp | Pass yds | TD | INT | EPA per dropback | CPOE | Y/A |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | NYJ | 5 | 153 | 86 | 724 | 2 | 4 | -0.34 | -8.93 | 4.73 |
| 2022 | CHI | 2 | 26 | 15 | 184 | 1 |
Dropback production by situation bucket. Small buckets are noisy; check anything surprising with a test in the builder.
| Situation | Dropbacks | EPA per dropback | Success rate | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shotgun | 138 | -0.24 | 0.33 | -8.92 |
| Trailing | 103 | -0.29 | 0.33 | -6.85 |
| Away | 96 | -0.32 | 0.31 | -4.97 |
| Home | 65 | -0.36 | 0.37 | -14.97 |
| 1st down & long | 56 | -0.32 | 0.41 | -1.03 |
Data refreshed 1 day ago. Built on data from the nflverse project.
CPOE
-7.7
QB median -0.6
Track spans the middle 90% of 67 qualified seasons; the notch is the median.
Time to throw by season
2016
2.72s
2017
2.69s
2021
2.89s
2022
2.66s
2023
2.49s
League tracking aggregates; NFL-qualified weeks only.
Track spans the middle 90% of 56 qualified seasons; the notch is the median.
Pocket time
2.20s
QB median 2.40s
Track spans the middle 90% of 56 qualified seasons; the notch is the median.
Bad throw rate by season
2021
14.7%
2023
22.8%
ESPN QBR, 2023 average
20.3across 4 games
ESPN QBR shown as a benchmark. On identical frames, the Altitude score is steadier game to game (.517 vs .470 split-half).
PFR advanced charting, 2018 onward; qualified seasons only.
| 1 |
| -0.26 |
| -5.78 |
| 7.08 |
| 2021 | NO | 6 | 188 | 108 | 1154 | 11 | 3 | -0.05 | -4.72 | 6.14 |
| 2019 | NYJ | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -0.70 | -6.65 | 0.50 |
| 2017 | DEN | 11 | 349 | 206 | 2285 | 12 | 14 | -0.13 | -1.51 | 6.55 |
| 2016 | DEN | 14 | 486 | 289 | 3401 | 18 | 10 | 0.03 | -0.52 | 7.00 |
| 2015 | DEN | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Leading | 45 | -0.40 | 0.38 | -13.58 |
| 2nd down & long | 40 | -0.08 | 0.33 | -20.09 |
| Two minute | 34 | -0.05 | 0.41 | -0.71 |
| 3rd down & long | 26 | -0.44 | 0.19 | -10.45 |
| Red zone | 18 | -0.85 | 0.22 | -18.92 |
| No huddle | 17 | -0.16 | 0.35 | -0.46 |
| 3rd down & medium | 13 | -0.18 | 0.38 | -5.76 |
| Neutral | 13 | -0.49 | 0.23 | -9.32 |
| 2nd down & medium | 11 | -1.01 | 0.36 | -12.30 |
| 3rd down & short | 7 | -0.72 | 0.29 | -27.59 |
| 2nd down & short | 4 | 0.34 | 0.50 | 9.14 |
| 4th down & long | 2 | -1.42 | 0.00 | -27.14 |
| 1st down & medium | 1 | -0.44 | 0.00 | 19.04 |
| 4th down & short | 1 | -1.67 | 0.00 | 30.28 |