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The War Room · 2027
The roster state the front office faced entering the offseason, reconstructed from last season's snaps and the contract ledger. Needs predict behavior; the risk bands are odds, never verdicts.
QB room · franchise-vet
Franchise veteran on a market deal; the room is settled.
Ten position groups ranked against the other 31 teams. Draft prior is the measured chance a team in this need state spends a top-100 pick there; corner priors deliberately ignore rank because corner drafting is need-insensitive, and the QB prior reads the room class above.
| Rank | Group | Need | Returning snaps | Cap committed | Age | Draft prior | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WR | +4.1 | 48% | 1.5% | 31.4 | 42% | |
| 2 | RB | +3.6 | 31% | 0.2% | 30.7 | 13% | |
| 3 | OL | +0.7 | 80% | 2.8% | 30.9 | 43% | |
| 4 | ED | +0.4 | 52% | 4.5% | 28.4 | 29% | |
| 5 | S | +0.4 | 64% | 0.3% | 25.7 | 11% | |
| 6 | CB | -1.4 | 93% | 3.5% | 26.7 | 29% | |
| 7 | QB | -1.7 | 93% | 17.7% | 27.1 | 9% | |
| 8 | LB | -1.9 | 90% | 4.2% | 28.4 | 17% | |
| 9 | TE | -2.1 | 91% | 3.5% | 30.2 | 8% | |
| 10 | IDL | -2.9 | 100% | 2.7% | 25.8 | 25% |
Keep is the incumbent re-sign band. Contract structure and measured risk flags stay visible beside it.
| Player | Pos | Expiring cap | Gtd | Keep | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian McCaffrey | RB | 7.4% | 63% | High · ret 0.79 | career-year-spike, age-cliff |
| Yetur Gross-Matos | ED | 3.5% | 52% | Low | |
| Jordan Mason | RB | 1.9% | 0% | Elevated · ret 0.89 | age-cliff |
| Tre Brown | CB | 0.6% | 29% | Low |
Free agents at this team's top-3 need groups, screened to external-buy bands below Severe. External buys keep under 80% of platform production 43% of the time; the band prices that ladder.
| Player | Pos | From | Expiring cap | External band | Forecast retention |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Olave | WR | NO | 2.3% | High | 0.95 |
Built from the team needs ledger (validated against ten years of revealed draft and free-agency behavior) and the second-contract risk model. Odds, not verdicts. Browse the full free-agency class or return to the team page.
| Fabian Moreau | CB | 0.5% | 34% | Low |
| Ross Dwelley | TE | 0.5% | 0% | High · ret 0.79 | career-year-spike, age-cliff |
| Richie Grant | S | 0.5% | 23% | Low |