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The War Room · 2027
The roster state the front office faced entering the offseason, reconstructed from last season's snaps and the contract ledger. Needs predict behavior; the risk bands are odds, never verdicts.
QB room · void
No starter under contract: void rooms buy veterans first and draft second.
Ten position groups ranked against the other 31 teams. Draft prior is the measured chance a team in this need state spends a top-100 pick there; corner priors deliberately ignore rank because corner drafting is need-insensitive, and the QB prior reads the room class above.
| Rank | Group | Need | Returning snaps | Cap committed | Age | Draft prior | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S | +5.0 | 1% | 0.0% | 29.8 | 14% | |
| 2 | CB | +4.5 | 33% | 1.2% | 29.5 | 25% | |
| 3 | QB | +4.4 | 0% | 0.0% | 42.8 | 19% | |
| 4 | RB | +2.5 | 44% | 0.8% | 28.3 | 18% | starter returns |
| 5 | OL | +1.5 | 60% | 0.5% | 27.0 | 39% | |
| 6 | LB | +0.7 | 60% | 2.2% | 27.0 | 18% | |
| 7 | ED | -0.2 | 60% | 5.6% | 29.6 | 21% | |
| 8 | IDL | -1.1 | 70% | 2.2% | 29.1 | 25% | |
| 9 | WR | -2.5 | 96% | 5.6% | 27.3 | 25% | |
| 10 | TE | -3.5 | 98% | 3.9% | 27.1 | 8% |
Keep is the incumbent re-sign band. Contract structure and measured risk flags stay visible beside it.
| Player | Pos | Expiring cap | Gtd | Keep | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnu Smith | TE | 4.3% | 64% | Elevated · ret 0.89 | age-cliff |
| Darius Slay | CB | 3.6% | 87% | Low | |
| Cordarrelle Patterson | WR | 1.2% | 32% | Elevated | age-cliff |
| Juan Thornhill | S | 1.1% | 61% | Low | |
| Robert Woods | WR | 0.7% |
Free agents at this team's top-3 need groups, screened to external-buy bands below Severe. External buys keep under 80% of platform production 43% of the time; the band prices that ladder.
| Player | Pos | From | Expiring cap | External band | Forecast retention |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marshon Lattimore | CB | WAS | 10.6% | High | n/a |
| James Bradberry | CB | PHI | 5.6% | High | n/a |
| Grant Delpit | S | CLE | 5.3% | High | n/a |
| Harrison Smith | S | MIN | 3.7% | High | n/a |
| Donovan Wilson | S | DAL |
Built from the team needs ledger (validated against ten years of revealed draft and free-agency behavior) and the second-contract risk model. Odds, not verdicts. Browse the full free-agency class or return to the team page.
| 37% |
| Elevated |
| age-cliff |
| 3.1% |
| High |
| n/a |
| Davis Mills | QB | HOU | 2.5% | High | 0.95 |
| Jordan Whitehead | S | TB | 1.8% | High | n/a |