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The War Room · 2027
The roster state the front office faced entering the offseason, reconstructed from last season's snaps and the contract ledger. Needs predict behavior; the risk bands are odds, never verdicts.
QB room · franchise-vet
Franchise veteran on a market deal; the room is settled.
Ten position groups ranked against the other 31 teams. Draft prior is the measured chance a team in this need state spends a top-100 pick there; corner priors deliberately ignore rank because corner drafting is need-insensitive, and the QB prior reads the room class above.
| Rank | Group | Need | Returning snaps | Cap committed | Age | Draft prior | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TE | +4.5 | 16% | 0.1% | 31.4 | 22% | |
| 2 | OL | +4.1 | 40% | 2.0% | 29.7 | 56% | |
| 3 | RB | +2.9 | 37% | 0.2% | 26.9 | 18% | |
| 4 | WR | +2.5 | 34% | 0.4% | 26.1 | 34% | |
| 5 | ED | +2.3 | 39% | 0.2% | 26.6 | 21% | |
| 6 | S | +0.7 | 57% | 0.3% | 27.0 | 11% | starter returns |
| 7 | CB | +0.1 | 80% | 1.0% | 25.6 | 29% | |
| 8 | IDL | -1.7 | 60% | 6.6% | 26.2 | 25% | |
| 9 | QB | -2.2 | 100% | 22.7% | 29.0 | 9% | |
| 10 | LB | -3.7 | 100% | 3.8% | 26.6 | 17% |
Keep is the incumbent re-sign band. Contract structure and measured risk flags stay visible beside it.
| Player | Pos | Expiring cap | Gtd | Keep | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Bradberry | CB | 5.6% | 53% | Low | |
| Za'Darius Smith | ED | 1.5% | 100%+ | Low | |
| Jaire Alexander | CB | 1.4% | 100%+ | Low | |
| Brandon Graham | ED | 0.9% | 100%+ | Low | |
| Adoree' Jackson | CB | 0.6% |
Free agents at this team's top-3 need groups, screened to external-buy bands below Severe. External buys keep under 80% of platform production 43% of the time; the band prices that ladder.
| Player | Pos | From | Expiring cap | External band | Forecast retention |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No scored free agents at the top need groups this class. | |||||
Built from the team needs ledger (validated against ten years of revealed draft and free-agency behavior) and the second-contract risk model. Odds, not verdicts. Browse the full free-agency class or return to the team page.
| 57% |
| Low |
| Ogbonnia Okoronkwo | ED | 0.5% | 0% | Low |
| Patrick Johnson | ED | 0.5% | 0% | Low |