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The War Room · 2027
The roster state the front office faced entering the offseason, reconstructed from last season's snaps and the contract ledger. Needs predict behavior; the risk bands are odds, never verdicts.
QB room · void
No starter under contract: void rooms buy veterans first and draft second.
Ten position groups ranked against the other 31 teams. Draft prior is the measured chance a team in this need state spends a top-100 pick there; corner priors deliberately ignore rank because corner drafting is need-insensitive, and the QB prior reads the room class above.
| Rank | Group | Need | Returning snaps | Cap committed | Age | Draft prior | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | QB | +3.9 | 0% | 0.0% | 36.0 | 19% | |
| 2 | S | +3.5 | 6% | 0.1% | 26.6 | 14% | |
| 3 | IDL | +1.4 | 52% | 0.3% | 28.9 | 31% | |
| 4 | ED | +0.3 | 33% | 1.5% | 26.1 | 29% | |
| 5 | WR | -1.1 | 69% | 4.3% | 25.6 | 39% | |
| 6 | LB | -1.7 | 100% | 4.5% | 32.6 | 18% | |
| 7 | TE | -1.8 | 56% | 0.7% | 24.9 | 9% | |
| 8 | OL | -2.3 | 80% | 2.5% | 26.0 | 32% | |
| 9 | RB | -2.4 | 100% | 3.2% | 24.9 | 12% | |
| 10 | CB | -2.4 | 98% | 1.9% | 26.0 | 26% |
Keep is the incumbent re-sign band. Contract structure and measured risk flags stay visible beside it.
| Player | Pos | Expiring cap | Gtd | Keep | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Reynolds | WR | 1.0% | 73% | High · ret 0.79 | career-year-spike, age-cliff |
| Allen Lazard | WR | 0.9% | 70% | Elevated · ret 0.89 | age-cliff |
| Kris Boyd | CB | 0.6% | 21% | Low |
Free agents at this team's top-3 need groups, screened to external-buy bands below Severe. External buys keep under 80% of platform production 43% of the time; the band prices that ladder.
| Player | Pos | From | Expiring cap | External band | Forecast retention |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Delpit | S | CLE | 5.3% | High | n/a |
| Harrison Smith | S | MIN | 3.7% | High | n/a |
| Donovan Wilson | S | DAL | 3.1% | High | n/a |
| Davis Mills | QB | HOU | 2.5% | High | 0.95 |
| Jordan Whitehead | S | TB | 1.8% |
Built from the team needs ledger (validated against ten years of revealed draft and free-agency behavior) and the second-contract risk model. Odds, not verdicts. Browse the full free-agency class or return to the team page.
| High |
| n/a |