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The War Room · 2027
The roster state the front office faced entering the offseason, reconstructed from last season's snaps and the contract ledger. Needs predict behavior; the risk bands are odds, never verdicts.
QB room · aging-vet
Aging veteran on big money: the highest QB-draft propensity state in football. Succession planning is live.
Ten position groups ranked against the other 31 teams. Draft prior is the measured chance a team in this need state spends a top-100 pick there; corner priors deliberately ignore rank because corner drafting is need-insensitive, and the QB prior reads the room class above.
| Rank | Group | Need | Returning snaps | Cap committed | Age | Draft prior | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S | +2.5 | 35% | 0.3% | 27.8 | 14% | |
| 2 | WR | +1.6 | 59% | 1.4% | 26.2 | 42% | |
| 3 | CB | +1.2 | 72% | 1.4% | 27.4 | 40% | |
| 4 | IDL | +0.9 | 66% | 0.5% | 28.2 | 31% | |
| 5 | TE | -0.5 | 61% | 3.0% | 28.0 | 9% | |
| 6 | QB | -0.7 | 100% | 17.6% | 39.0 | 26% | |
| 7 | OL | -1.3 | 80% | 3.7% | 26.8 | 39% | |
| 8 | ED | -1.8 | 73% | 7.1% | 29.1 | 22% | |
| 9 | RB | -1.8 | 100% | 1.9% | 24.8 | 12% | |
| 10 | LB | -2.8 | 100% | 3.8% | 26.4 | 17% |
Keep is the incumbent re-sign band. Contract structure and measured risk flags stay visible beside it.
| Player | Pos | Expiring cap | Gtd | Keep | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amari Cooper | WR | 1.3% | 100%+ | Elevated | age-cliff |
| Raheem Mostert | RB | 0.6% | 11% | Elevated | age-cliff |
| Zamir White | RB | 0.5% | 17% | Elevated | age-cliff |
Free agents at this team's top-3 need groups, screened to external-buy bands below Severe. External buys keep under 80% of platform production 43% of the time; the band prices that ladder.
| Player | Pos | From | Expiring cap | External band | Forecast retention |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marshon Lattimore | CB | WAS | 10.6% | High | n/a |
| James Bradberry | CB | PHI | 5.6% | High | n/a |
| Grant Delpit | S | CLE | 5.3% | High | n/a |
| Harrison Smith | S | MIN | 3.7% | High | n/a |
| Darius Slay | CB | PIT |
Built from the team needs ledger (validated against ten years of revealed draft and free-agency behavior) and the second-contract risk model. Odds, not verdicts. Browse the full free-agency class or return to the team page.
| 3.6% |
| High |
| n/a |
| Donovan Wilson | S | DAL | 3.1% | High | n/a |
| Chris Olave | WR | NO | 2.3% | High | 0.95 |
| Jordan Whitehead | S | TB | 1.8% | High | n/a |