The War Room · 2026
Los Angeles Rams offseason brief
The roster state the front office faced entering the offseason, reconstructed from last season's snaps and the contract ledger. Needs predict behavior; the risk bands are odds, never verdicts.
QB room · aging-vet
Aging veteran on big money: the highest QB-draft propensity state in football. Succession planning is live.
Need board
Ten position groups ranked against the other 31 teams. Draft prior is the measured chance a team in this need state spends a top-100 pick there; corner priors deliberately ignore rank because corner drafting is need-insensitive, and the QB prior reads the room class above.
| Rank | Group | Need | Returning snaps | Cap committed | Age | Draft prior | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CB | +2.1 | 60% | 1.1% | 27.9 | 25% | |
| 2 | QB | +0.3 | 98% | 14.1% | 37.9 | 26% | |
| 3 | S | +0.1 | 64% | 1.1% | 25.9 | 22% | |
| 4 | WR | -1.0 | 84% | 3.5% | 27.1 | 34% | |
| 5 | OL | -1.7 | 90% | 2.9% | 28.6 | 39% | |
| 6 | TE | -1.9 | 80% | 1.2% | 26.9 | 9% | |
| 7 | LB | -1.9 | 96% | 1.7% | 26.4 | 18% | |
| 8 | ED | -3.0 | 95% | 0.9% | 26.0 | 22% | |
| 9 | IDL | -3.6 | 100% | 1.2% | 26.9 | 25% | |
| 10 | RB | -3.6 | 98% | 2.9% | 25.7 | 12% |
Own expiring contracts
Keep is the incumbent re-sign band; walk is the projected compensatory selection his departure earns two drafts out, gross of the net-loss formula.
| Player | Pos | Expiring cap | Gtd | Keep | Walk | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Garoppolo | QB | 1.1% | 100%+ | Elevated | R7 comp | age-cliff |
Market targets
Free agents at this team's top-3 need groups, screened to external-buy bands below Severe. External buys keep under 80% of platform production 43% of the time; the band prices that ladder.
| Player | Pos | From | Expiring cap | External band | Forecast retention |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marshon Lattimore | CB | WAS | 10.6% | High | n/a |
| James Bradberry | CB | PHI | 5.6% | High | n/a |
| Grant Delpit | S | CLE | 5.3% | High | n/a |
| Harrison Smith | S | MIN | 3.7% | High | n/a |
| Darius Slay | CB | PIT | 3.6% | High | n/a |
| Donovan Wilson | S | DAL | 3.1% | High | n/a |
| Davis Mills | QB | HOU | 2.5% | High | 0.95 |
| Jordan Whitehead | S | TB | 1.8% | High | n/a |
Built from the team needs ledger (validated against ten years of revealed draft and free-agency behavior) and the second-contract risk model. Odds, not verdicts. Browse the full free-agency class or return to the team page.