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The War Room · 2027
The roster state the front office faced entering the offseason, reconstructed from last season's snaps and the contract ledger. Needs predict behavior; the risk bands are odds, never verdicts.
QB room · franchise-vet
Franchise veteran on a market deal; the room is settled.
Ten position groups ranked against the other 31 teams. Draft prior is the measured chance a team in this need state spends a top-100 pick there; corner priors deliberately ignore rank because corner drafting is need-insensitive, and the QB prior reads the room class above.
| Rank | Group | Need | Returning snaps | Cap committed | Age | Draft prior | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LB | +4.4 | 30% | 0.3% | 30.4 | 26% | |
| 2 | IDL | +2.0 | 35% | 0.3% | 28.4 | 26% | |
| 3 | OL | +1.9 | 58% | 1.6% | 27.2 | 43% | |
| 4 | S | +0.7 | 57% | 1.0% | 27.8 | 22% | |
| 5 | RB | -0.3 | 90% | 0.8% | 26.6 | 17% | starter returns |
| 6 | CB | -0.7 | 97% | 2.4% | 28.4 | 29% | |
| 7 | ED | -1.8 | 76% | 6.2% | 28.8 | 21% | |
| 8 | TE | -1.9 | 80% | 2.1% | 26.4 | 8% | |
| 9 | QB | -1.9 | 94% | 20.2% | 27.3 | 9% | |
| 10 | WR | -2.2 | 76% | 3.1% | 25.8 | 25% |
Keep is the incumbent re-sign band. Contract structure and measured risk flags stay visible beside it.
| Player | Pos | Expiring cap | Gtd | Keep | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Ogbah | ED | 1.2% | 62% | Low | |
| Dawuane Smoot | ED | 0.5% | 100%+ | Low · ret 0.99 |
Free agents at this team's top-3 need groups, screened to external-buy bands below Severe. External buys keep under 80% of platform production 43% of the time; the band prices that ladder.
| Player | Pos | From | Expiring cap | External band | Forecast retention |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No scored free agents at the top need groups this class. | |||||
Built from the team needs ledger (validated against ten years of revealed draft and free-agency behavior) and the second-contract risk model. Odds, not verdicts. Browse the full free-agency class or return to the team page.