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The War Room · 2027
The roster state the front office faced entering the offseason, reconstructed from last season's snaps and the contract ledger. Needs predict behavior; the risk bands are odds, never verdicts.
QB room · void
No starter under contract: void rooms buy veterans first and draft second.
Ten position groups ranked against the other 31 teams. Draft prior is the measured chance a team in this need state spends a top-100 pick there; corner priors deliberately ignore rank because corner drafting is need-insensitive, and the QB prior reads the room class above.
| Rank | Group | Need | Returning snaps | Cap committed | Age | Draft prior | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | QB | +3.4 | 0% | 0.0% | 32.0 | 19% | |
| 2 | ED | +1.9 | 44% | 0.5% | 26.8 | 29% | |
| 3 | TE | -0.4 | 66% | 0.4% | 24.4 | 15% | |
| 4 | WR | -0.6 | 66% | 0.8% | 24.7 | 34% | |
| 5 | S | -0.6 | 55% | 2.4% | 26.7 | 11% | |
| 6 | RB | -1.0 | 81% | 0.7% | 25.3 | 17% | |
| 7 | IDL | -2.2 | 67% | 1.6% | 26.6 | 17% | |
| 8 | LB | -2.2 | 100% | 1.5% | 27.2 | 17% | |
| 9 | CB | -2.2 | 93% | 6.3% | 27.7 | 26% | |
| 10 | OL | -4.7 | 100% | 4.0% | 27.0 | 32% |
Keep is the incumbent re-sign band. Contract structure and measured risk flags stay visible beside it.
| Player | Pos | Expiring cap | Gtd | Keep | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Delpit | S | 5.3% | 41% | Low | |
| DeAndre Carter | WR | 0.5% | 54% | Elevated | age-cliff |
| Damontae Kazee | S | 0.5% | 70% | Low | |
| Rayshawn Jenkins | S | 0.5% | 82% | Low | |
| Tony Brown | WR | 0.5% |
Free agents at this team's top-3 need groups, screened to external-buy bands below Severe. External buys keep under 80% of platform production 43% of the time; the band prices that ladder.
| Player | Pos | From | Expiring cap | External band | Forecast retention |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Van Ginkel | ED | MIN | 8.2% | High | 0.95 |
| Haason Reddick | ED | TB | 5.0% | High | 0.95 |
| Joey Bosa | ED | BUF | 4.5% | High | 0.95 |
| Kayvon Thibodeaux | ED | NYG | 3.8% | High | 0.95 |
| Leonard Floyd | ED | ATL |
Built from the team needs ledger (validated against ten years of revealed draft and free-agency behavior) and the second-contract risk model. Odds, not verdicts. Browse the full free-agency class or return to the team page.
| 0% |
| Elevated |
| age-cliff |
| David Bell | WR | 0.5% | 0% | Low |
| 3.6% |
| High |
| 0.95 |
| Yetur Gross-Matos | ED | SF | 3.5% | High | n/a |
| Denico Autry | ED | HOU | 2.7% | High | n/a |
| Davis Mills | QB | HOU | 2.5% | High | 0.95 |
| Tyquan Lewis | ED | IND | 2.3% | High | n/a |
| Darrell Taylor | ED | HOU | 1.7% | High | n/a |