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The War Room · 2027
The roster state the front office faced entering the offseason, reconstructed from last season's snaps and the contract ledger. Needs predict behavior; the risk bands are odds, never verdicts.
QB room · franchise-vet
Franchise veteran on a market deal; the room is settled.
Ten position groups ranked against the other 31 teams. Draft prior is the measured chance a team in this need state spends a top-100 pick there; corner priors deliberately ignore rank because corner drafting is need-insensitive, and the QB prior reads the room class above.
| Rank | Group | Need | Returning snaps | Cap committed | Age | Draft prior | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CB | +5.2 | 4% | 0.0% | 27.5 | 25% | |
| 2 | RB | +5.2 | 2% | 0.0% | 28.5 | 13% | |
| 3 | TE | +1.9 | 51% | 0.9% | 29.9 | 15% | |
| 4 | OL | +1.8 | 60% | 1.5% | 29.0 | 43% | |
| 5 | IDL | +1.5 | 52% | 2.3% | 29.6 | 17% | |
| 6 | S | +0.3 | 50% | 2.3% | 27.0 | 11% | |
| 7 | WR | -1.7 | 77% | 8.2% | 27.2 | 39% | |
| 8 | LB | -1.7 | 99% | 0.6% | 25.5 | 17% | |
| 9 | QB | -2.2 | 100% | 24.5% | 30.0 | 9% | |
| 10 | ED | -2.6 | 72% | 2.5% | 25.7 | 22% |
Keep is the incumbent re-sign band. Contract structure and measured risk flags stay visible beside it.
| Player | Pos | Expiring cap | Gtd | Keep | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daxton Hill | CB | 1.4% | 100%+ | Low | |
| Zack Moss | RB | 0.6% | 22% | Elevated | age-cliff |
Free agents at this team's top-3 need groups, screened to external-buy bands below Severe. External buys keep under 80% of platform production 43% of the time; the band prices that ladder.
| Player | Pos | From | Expiring cap | External band | Forecast retention |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marshon Lattimore | CB | WAS | 10.6% | High | n/a |
| James Bradberry | CB | PHI | 5.6% | High | n/a |
| Darius Slay | CB | PIT | 3.6% | High | n/a |
Built from the team needs ledger (validated against ten years of revealed draft and free-agency behavior) and the second-contract risk model. Odds, not verdicts. Browse the full free-agency class or return to the team page.