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The War Room · 2027
The roster state the front office faced entering the offseason, reconstructed from last season's snaps and the contract ledger. Needs predict behavior; the risk bands are odds, never verdicts.
QB room · void
No starter under contract: void rooms buy veterans first and draft second.
Ten position groups ranked against the other 31 teams. Draft prior is the measured chance a team in this need state spends a top-100 pick there; corner priors deliberately ignore rank because corner drafting is need-insensitive, and the QB prior reads the room class above.
| Rank | Group | Need | Returning snaps | Cap committed | Age | Draft prior | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TE | +3.1 | 32% | 0.1% | 28.2 | 22% | |
| 2 | QB | +2.9 | 0% | 0.0% | 26.2 | 19% | |
| 3 | LB | +1.6 | 54% | 2.4% | 29.5 | 22% | |
| 4 | CB | +1.4 | 58% | 3.2% | 27.5 | 40% | |
| 5 | OL | +0.5 | 58% | 2.8% | 27.9 | 39% | |
| 6 | ED | +0.1 | 55% | 3.3% | 27.9 | 21% | |
| 7 | RB | -0.9 | 92% | 2.4% | 27.1 | 17% | starter returns |
| 8 | S | -1.0 | 75% | 2.8% | 28.0 | 10% | |
| 9 | WR | -3.0 | 91% | 2.3% | 25.1 | 25% | |
| 10 | IDL | -3.4 | 100% | 2.9% | 26.1 | 25% |
Keep is the incumbent re-sign band. Contract structure and measured risk flags stay visible beside it.
| Player | Pos | Expiring cap | Gtd | Keep | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Renfrow | WR | 0.7% | 42% | High · ret 0.79 | career-year-spike, age-cliff |
| Amare Barno | ED | 0.5% | 5% | Low |
Free agents at this team's top-3 need groups, screened to external-buy bands below Severe. External buys keep under 80% of platform production 43% of the time; the band prices that ladder.
| Player | Pos | From | Expiring cap | External band | Forecast retention |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis Mills | QB | HOU | 2.5% | High | 0.95 |
Built from the team needs ledger (validated against ten years of revealed draft and free-agency behavior) and the second-contract risk model. Odds, not verdicts. Browse the full free-agency class or return to the team page.