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The War Room · 2027
The roster state the front office faced entering the offseason, reconstructed from last season's snaps and the contract ledger. Needs predict behavior; the risk bands are odds, never verdicts.
QB room · franchise-vet
Franchise veteran on a market deal; the room is settled.
Ten position groups ranked against the other 31 teams. Draft prior is the measured chance a team in this need state spends a top-100 pick there; corner priors deliberately ignore rank because corner drafting is need-insensitive, and the QB prior reads the room class above.
| Rank | Group | Need | Returning snaps | Cap committed | Age | Draft prior | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S | +1.7 | 45% | 0.3% | 26.8 | 14% | |
| 2 | TE | +0.5 | 65% | 0.9% | 27.8 | 22% | |
| 3 | LB | +0.4 | 65% | 2.2% | 27.0 | 22% | |
| 4 | IDL | +0.3 | 60% | 0.3% | 26.3 | 31% | |
| 5 | OL | -0.5 | 75% | 4.4% | 29.5 | 39% | |
| 6 | RB | -1.5 | 100% | 3.1% | 27.4 | 17% | |
| 7 | QB | -1.7 | 100% | 19.7% | 31.0 | 9% | |
| 8 | WR | -2.0 | 99% | 4.8% | 27.0 | 25% | |
| 9 | ED | -3.7 | 98% | 4.3% | 27.6 | 22% | |
| 10 | CB | -4.0 | 100% | 3.3% | 26.2 | 26% |
Keep is the incumbent re-sign band. Contract structure and measured risk flags stay visible beside it.
| Player | Pos | Expiring cap | Gtd | Keep | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Bosa | ED | 4.5% | 95% | Low · ret 0.99 | |
| Tre'Davious White | CB | 1.1% | 73% | Low |
Free agents at this team's top-3 need groups, screened to external-buy bands below Severe. External buys keep under 80% of platform production 43% of the time; the band prices that ladder.
| Player | Pos | From | Expiring cap | External band | Forecast retention |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Delpit | S | CLE | 5.3% | High | n/a |
| Harrison Smith | S | MIN | 3.7% | High | n/a |
| Donovan Wilson | S | DAL | 3.1% | High | n/a |
| Jordan Whitehead | S | TB | 1.8% | High | n/a |
Built from the team needs ledger (validated against ten years of revealed draft and free-agency behavior) and the second-contract risk model. Odds, not verdicts. Browse the full free-agency class or return to the team page.