Player / QB
J.J. McCarthy
Regular season production, 2025.
- Position
- QB
- Team
- MIN
- Seasons
- 2025
- Games
- 10
- 2025 Altitude
- 37Turbulence
- 2025 QB rank
- #31 of 35 QB
2025 Flight Log
Altitude is EPA per dropback with the luck taken out: interception plays priced as incompletions, sack-fumbles as clean sacks, shown as the historical percentile of every qualifying QB game since 2016. The band is the claim; differences between adjacent bands are often noise.
W1
17
Turbulence
W2
4
Grounded
W9
9
Grounded
W10
37
Turbulence
W11
34
Turbulence
W12
0
Grounded
W14
59
Level
W15
98
Soaring
W16
23
Turbulence
W18
85
Cruising
Season mean Altitude 37 across 10 qualifying games. Rushing identity is not graded here; his baseline is 16 rushing yards a game.
Tracking profile
Time to throw and aggressiveness are style axes that sit beside the Altitude score, never replace it; CPOE is the tracking-model completion skill.
Time to throw
Headline3.05s
QB median 2.80s
Track spans the middle 90% of 64 qualified seasons; the notch is the median.
Aggressiveness
17%
QB median 15%
Track spans the middle 90% of 64 qualified seasons; the notch is the median.
Air yards to sticks
+1.0 yd
QB median -1.1 yd
Track spans the middle 90% of 64 qualified seasons; the notch is the median.
CPOE
-5.5
QB median -0.4
Track spans the middle 90% of 64 qualified seasons; the notch is the median.
League tracking aggregates; NFL-qualified weeks only.
Charting profile
Accuracy and pressure rates persist year over year (.43 to .48) but add nothing to predicting future clean EPA, so none of them enters the Altitude score; read them as style and environment.
Bad throw rate
Headline21.3%
QB median 15.9%
Track spans the middle 90% of 56 qualified seasons; the notch is the median.
On-target rate
66.5%
QB median 74.0%
Track spans the middle 90% of 56 qualified seasons; the notch is the median.
Pressure rate
26.5%
QB median 21.6%
Track spans the middle 90% of 56 qualified seasons; the notch is the median.
Pocket time
2.50s
QB median 2.40s
Track spans the middle 90% of 56 qualified seasons; the notch is the median.
ESPN QBR, 2025 average
41.9across 10 games
ESPN QBR shown as a benchmark. On identical frames, the Altitude score is steadier game to game (.517 vs .470 split-half).
PFR advanced charting, 2018 onward; qualified seasons only.
2025 / QB
Position profile
Season splits from pre-aggregated charting views. Missing datasets stay hidden.
2025 percentiles
Against every qualifying QB season in 2025. Metrics below their sample minimum say so instead of pretending.
EPA per dropback
7thpercentile
38 qualifying seasons
CPOE
8thpercentile
42 qualifying seasons
Yards per attempt
37thpercentile
42 qualifying seasons
Career, season by season
Regular season only. Column definitions live in the glossary and at /explore.
| Season | Team | G | Att | Cmp | Pass yds | TD | INT | EPA per dropback | CPOE | Y/A |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | MIN | 10 | 243 | 140 | 1632 | 11 | 12 | -0.20 | -5.72 | 6.72 |
2025 situational splits
Dropback production by situation bucket. Small buckets are noisy; check anything surprising with a test in the builder.
| Situation | Dropbacks | EPA per dropback | Success rate | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shotgun | 201 | -0.20 | 0.39 | -6.05 |
| Home | 153 | -0.16 | 0.41 | -8.70 |
| Trailing | 130 | -0.34 | 0.35 | -9.91 |
| Away | 120 | -0.25 | 0.40 | -1.55 |
| Leading | 90 | -0.18 | 0.41 | -6.06 |
| 1st down & long | 88 | -0.08 | 0.45 | -0.25 |
| Neutral | 53 | 0.12 | 0.53 | 4.75 |
| 2nd down & long | 52 | -0.08 | 0.42 | -6.94 |
| Red zone | 44 | -0.10 | 0.34 | -6.20 |
| Two minute | 40 | -0.23 | 0.33 | -3.86 |
| 3rd down & long | 33 | -0.10 | 0.33 | -0.77 |
| 2nd down & medium | 32 | -0.41 | 0.50 | -9.35 |
| No huddle | 29 | -0.24 | 0.52 | -1.13 |
| 3rd down & medium | 27 | -0.25 | 0.30 | -7.31 |
| 3rd down & short | 14 | -2.11 | 0.00 | -59.79 |
| 2nd down & short | 9 | -0.13 | 0.44 | -10.57 |
| 1st down & medium | 5 | 0.52 | 0.60 | 14.88 |
| 4th down & short | 4 | 0.13 | 0.50 | -4.71 |
| 1st down & short | 2 | -0.30 | 0.00 | -52.45 |
| 4th down & long | 2 | 4.16 | 1.00 | 72.50 |
| 4th down & medium | 2 | 0.48 | 0.50 | 6.45 |
Data refreshed 1 day ago. Built on data from the nflverse project.