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A living notebook by Riel St. Amand
The reproducible trail for the edge grade. Hits, sacks, and the per-game rates ship in the public edge_rush_season view for every qualifying edge since 2016.
Every cell re-runs in your browser against current data. Covers 1999 through 2025. Data refreshed 1 day ago.
We asked: which pass-rush stat carries the skill?
The public edge_rush_season view carries games, snaps, sacks, quarterback hits, and tackles for loss with per-game rates for every contracted or listed edge with ten or more games since 2016. The cell below runs the live association between hits per game and sacks per game: related, far from identical, and the article is about which one travels.
Rigor check
Hits per game against Sacks per game
Pearson correlation, re-run in your browser on current data.
The travel receipts are scripted: weekly reliability (.165 hits against .099 sacks), year-over-year persistence (.627 against .496), the team-change test (.510 against .378), and the .083 finishing-rate persistence that convicts sack conversion as luck all need weekly frames or season self-joins, spec in the article backtest block. The season rows here are the audit surface.
Built on data from the nflverse project.