Loading
Loading the next page.
Loading
MBStatsLoading
Loading
A living notebook by Riel St. Amand
The reproducible trail for the pocket-buying null. The unit output every input failed to predict ships in the public ol_unit_season view.
Every cell re-runs in your browser against current data. Covers 1999 through 2025. Data refreshed 1 day ago.
We asked: can a front office buy pass protection?
The output being bought ships in the public ol_unit_season view: expected pressures from the situation prices next to pressures actually allowed. The cell below runs their live association; the residual between them is protection above expected, the number every spending input failed to predict.
Rigor check
Expected pressures against Pressures allowed
Pearson correlation, re-run in your browser on current data.
The three currencies are scripted: cap share, draft pedigree, and continuity each require joining contract, draft, and lineup data onto these team-seasons, and each came back near .03 against next-season protection. The harness and results live in the article backtest block. The output side of every test is this view.
Built on data from the nflverse project.