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The War Room · 2027
The roster state the front office faced entering the offseason, reconstructed from last season's snaps and the contract ledger. Needs predict behavior; the risk bands are odds, never verdicts.
QB room · franchise-vet
Franchise veteran on a market deal; the room is settled.
Ten position groups ranked against the other 31 teams. Draft prior is the measured chance a team in this need state spends a top-100 pick there; corner priors deliberately ignore rank because corner drafting is need-insensitive, and the QB prior reads the room class above.
| Rank | Group | Need | Returning snaps | Cap committed | Age | Draft prior | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IDL | +6.2 | 0% | 0.0% | 30.5 | 26% | |
| 2 | ED | +2.1 | 42% | 0.6% | 27.2 | 29% | |
| 3 | LB | -1.0 | 94% | 1.8% | 27.8 | 22% | |
| 4 | RB | -1.0 | 100% | 1.2% | 26.1 | 18% | |
| 5 | QB | -1.5 | 100% | 18.3% | 32.0 | 9% | |
| 6 | OL | -1.7 | 80% | 4.6% | 27.6 | 39% | |
| 7 | WR | -1.8 | 99% | 3.1% | 26.0 | 39% | |
| 8 | CB | -1.9 | 100% | 2.5% | 25.6 | 26% | |
| 9 | TE | -2.3 | 91% | 2.9% | 27.8 | 8% | |
| 10 | S | -3.2 | 99% | 4.4% | 27.6 | 10% |
Keep is the incumbent re-sign band. Contract structure and measured risk flags stay visible beside it.
| Player | Pos | Expiring cap | Gtd | Keep | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haason Reddick | ED | 5.0% | 86% | Low · ret 0.99 | |
| Jordan Whitehead | S | 1.8% | 50% | Low | |
| Kyle Trask | QB | 1.0% | 48% | Low | |
| Sterling Shepard | WR | 0.5% | 33% | Elevated · ret 0.89 | age-cliff |
Free agents at this team's top-3 need groups, screened to external-buy bands below Severe. External buys keep under 80% of platform production 43% of the time; the band prices that ladder.
| Player | Pos | From | Expiring cap | External band | Forecast retention |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Van Ginkel | ED | MIN | 8.2% | High | 0.95 |
| Joey Bosa | ED | BUF | 4.5% | High | 0.95 |
| Kayvon Thibodeaux | ED | NYG | 3.8% | High | 0.95 |
| Leonard Floyd | ED | ATL | 3.6% | High | 0.95 |
| Yetur Gross-Matos | ED | SF |
Built from the team needs ledger (validated against ten years of revealed draft and free-agency behavior) and the second-contract risk model. Odds, not verdicts. Browse the full free-agency class or return to the team page.
| 3.5% |
| High |
| n/a |
| Denico Autry | ED | HOU | 2.7% | High | n/a |
| Tyquan Lewis | ED | IND | 2.3% | High | n/a |
| Darrell Taylor | ED | HOU | 1.7% | High | n/a |
| Jermaine Johnson II | ED | TEN | 1.6% | High | 0.95 |
| Kyle Van Noy | ED | BAL | 1.5% | High | 0.95 |