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The War Room · 2027
The roster state the front office faced entering the offseason, reconstructed from last season's snaps and the contract ledger. Needs predict behavior; the risk bands are odds, never verdicts.
QB room · young-ascending
Young ascending starter on a rookie deal; the room is settled and QB drops off the need board.
Ten position groups ranked against the other 31 teams. Draft prior is the measured chance a team in this need state spends a top-100 pick there; corner priors deliberately ignore rank because corner drafting is need-insensitive, and the QB prior reads the room class above.
| Rank | Group | Need | Returning snaps | Cap committed | Age | Draft prior | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IDL | +3.0 | 49% | 0.9% | 33.4 | 26% | |
| 2 | WR | +1.5 | 61% | 1.0% | 26.3 | 42% | |
| 3 | RB | +1.3 | 74% | 0.6% | 28.7 | 18% | |
| 4 | CB | +1.1 | 49% | 0.6% | 25.3 | 40% | |
| 5 | TE | -0.6 | 74% | 2.1% | 28.8 | 9% | |
| 6 | QB | -1.8 | 100% | 1.8% | 27.6 | 9% | |
| 7 | OL | -2.6 | 80% | 4.2% | 28.0 | 39% | |
| 8 | S | -2.8 | 99% | 3.1% | 26.5 | 10% | |
| 9 | LB | -4.5 | 98% | 3.9% | 29.0 | 17% | |
| 10 | ED | -5.0 | 87% | 4.6% | 25.3 | 22% |
Keep is the incumbent re-sign band. Contract structure and measured risk flags stay visible beside it.
| Player | Pos | Expiring cap | Gtd | Keep | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell Wilson | QB | 3.8% | 95% | Elevated · ret 0.89 | age-cliff |
| Kayvon Thibodeaux | ED | 3.8% | 100%+ | Low · ret 0.99 | |
| Zach Pascal | WR | 0.5% | 6% | Elevated | age-cliff |
| Victor Dimukeje | ED | 0.5% | 13% | Low |
Free agents at this team's top-3 need groups, screened to external-buy bands below Severe. External buys keep under 80% of platform production 43% of the time; the band prices that ladder.
| Player | Pos | From | Expiring cap | External band | Forecast retention |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Olave | WR | NO | 2.3% | High | 0.95 |
Built from the team needs ledger (validated against ten years of revealed draft and free-agency behavior) and the second-contract risk model. Odds, not verdicts. Browse the full free-agency class or return to the team page.