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The War Room · 2027
The roster state the front office faced entering the offseason, reconstructed from last season's snaps and the contract ledger. Needs predict behavior; the risk bands are odds, never verdicts.
QB room · franchise-vet
Franchise veteran on a market deal; the room is settled.
Ten position groups ranked against the other 31 teams. Draft prior is the measured chance a team in this need state spends a top-100 pick there; corner priors deliberately ignore rank because corner drafting is need-insensitive, and the QB prior reads the room class above.
| Rank | Group | Need | Returning snaps | Cap committed | Age | Draft prior | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TE | +5.5 | 11% | 0.0% | 32.4 | 22% | |
| 2 | LB | +2.1 | 45% | 2.4% | 29.2 | 26% | |
| 3 | CB | +1.3 | 65% | 2.4% | 27.6 | 40% | |
| 4 | WR | +1.2 | 66% | 1.0% | 25.8 | 34% | |
| 5 | QB | +0.5 | 70% | 15.9% | 43.5 | 9% | |
| 6 | OL | -1.0 | 80% | 3.2% | 26.8 | 39% | |
| 7 | S | -1.6 | 100% | 1.6% | 27.5 | 11% | |
| 8 | ED | -2.1 | 78% | 3.5% | 24.8 | 22% | |
| 9 | RB | -2.5 | 100% | 3.7% | 25.2 | 12% | |
| 10 | IDL | -3.2 | 100% | 7.2% | 31.8 | 25% |
Keep is the incumbent re-sign band. Contract structure and measured risk flags stay visible beside it.
| Player | Pos | Expiring cap | Gtd | Keep | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nazeeh Johnson | S | 1.2% | 0% | Low | |
| Kareem Hunt | RB | 0.5% | 57% | Elevated · ret 0.89 | age-cliff |
| Mike Edwards | S | 0.5% | 37% | Low |
Free agents at this team's top-3 need groups, screened to external-buy bands below Severe. External buys keep under 80% of platform production 43% of the time; the band prices that ladder.
| Player | Pos | From | Expiring cap | External band | Forecast retention |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marshon Lattimore | CB | WAS | 10.6% | High | n/a |
| James Bradberry | CB | PHI | 5.6% | High | n/a |
| Darius Slay | CB | PIT | 3.6% | High | n/a |
Built from the team needs ledger (validated against ten years of revealed draft and free-agency behavior) and the second-contract risk model. Odds, not verdicts. Browse the full free-agency class or return to the team page.