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The War Room · 2026

Green Bay Packers offseason brief

The roster state the front office faced entering the offseason, reconstructed from last season's snaps and the contract ledger. Needs predict behavior; the risk bands are odds, never verdicts.

QB room · franchise-vet

Franchise veteran on a market deal; the room is settled.

Need board

Ten position groups ranked against the other 31 teams. Draft prior is the measured chance a team in this need state spends a top-100 pick there; corner priors deliberately ignore rank because corner drafting is need-insensitive, and the QB prior reads the room class above.

RankGroupNeedReturning snapsCap committedAgeDraft prior
1WR
+3.2
44%0.4%25.542%
2OL
+2.5
41%2.1%26.756%
3LB
+0.4
66%0.6%25.322%
4RB
+0.3
51%2.4%27.318%
5TE
-0.4
77%0.5%25.79%
6IDL
-0.7
80%0.4%25.817%
7QB
-0.8
91%18.3%27.09%
8CB
-1.5
100%1.9%27.126%
9ED
-2.9
76%8.1%26.522%
10S
-3.4
99%2.8%25.510%

Own expiring contracts

Keep is the incumbent re-sign band; walk is the projected compensatory selection his departure earns two drafts out, gross of the net-loss formula.

PlayerPosExpiring capGtdKeepWalkFlags
John FitzPatrickTE0.5%8%Low · ret 0.99no comp

Market targets

Free agents at this team's top-3 need groups, screened to external-buy bands below Severe. External buys keep under 80% of platform production 43% of the time; the band prices that ladder.

PlayerPosFromExpiring capExternal bandForecast retention
Chris OlaveWRNO2.3%High0.95

Built from the team needs ledger (validated against ten years of revealed draft and free-agency behavior) and the second-contract risk model. Odds, not verdicts. Browse the full free-agency class or return to the team page.