The War Room · 2026
Green Bay Packers offseason brief
The roster state the front office faced entering the offseason, reconstructed from last season's snaps and the contract ledger. Needs predict behavior; the risk bands are odds, never verdicts.
QB room · franchise-vet
Franchise veteran on a market deal; the room is settled.
Need board
Ten position groups ranked against the other 31 teams. Draft prior is the measured chance a team in this need state spends a top-100 pick there; corner priors deliberately ignore rank because corner drafting is need-insensitive, and the QB prior reads the room class above.
| Rank | Group | Need | Returning snaps | Cap committed | Age | Draft prior | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WR | +3.2 | 44% | 0.4% | 25.5 | 42% | |
| 2 | OL | +2.5 | 41% | 2.1% | 26.7 | 56% | |
| 3 | LB | +0.4 | 66% | 0.6% | 25.3 | 22% | |
| 4 | RB | +0.3 | 51% | 2.4% | 27.3 | 18% | |
| 5 | TE | -0.4 | 77% | 0.5% | 25.7 | 9% | |
| 6 | IDL | -0.7 | 80% | 0.4% | 25.8 | 17% | |
| 7 | QB | -0.8 | 91% | 18.3% | 27.0 | 9% | |
| 8 | CB | -1.5 | 100% | 1.9% | 27.1 | 26% | |
| 9 | ED | -2.9 | 76% | 8.1% | 26.5 | 22% | |
| 10 | S | -3.4 | 99% | 2.8% | 25.5 | 10% |
Own expiring contracts
Keep is the incumbent re-sign band; walk is the projected compensatory selection his departure earns two drafts out, gross of the net-loss formula.
| Player | Pos | Expiring cap | Gtd | Keep | Walk | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John FitzPatrick | TE | 0.5% | 8% | Low · ret 0.99 | no comp |
Market targets
Free agents at this team's top-3 need groups, screened to external-buy bands below Severe. External buys keep under 80% of platform production 43% of the time; the band prices that ladder.
| Player | Pos | From | Expiring cap | External band | Forecast retention |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Olave | WR | NO | 2.3% | High | 0.95 |
Built from the team needs ledger (validated against ten years of revealed draft and free-agency behavior) and the second-contract risk model. Odds, not verdicts. Browse the full free-agency class or return to the team page.