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The War Room · 2027
The roster state the front office faced entering the offseason, reconstructed from last season's snaps and the contract ledger. Needs predict behavior; the risk bands are odds, never verdicts.
QB room · franchise-vet
Franchise veteran on a market deal; the room is settled.
Ten position groups ranked against the other 31 teams. Draft prior is the measured chance a team in this need state spends a top-100 pick there; corner priors deliberately ignore rank because corner drafting is need-insensitive, and the QB prior reads the room class above.
| Rank | Group | Need | Returning snaps | Cap committed | Age | Draft prior | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S | +5.4 | 0% | 0.0% | 31.0 | 14% | |
| 2 | TE | +4.7 | 1% | 0.0% | 27.0 | 22% | |
| 3 | CB | +4.7 | 31% | 1.5% | 29.3 | 40% | |
| 4 | OL | +1.6 | 32% | 2.4% | 26.6 | 43% | |
| 5 | LB | -1.0 | 76% | 3.7% | 27.7 | 18% | |
| 6 | QB | -1.7 | 100% | 20.8% | 32.0 | 9% | |
| 7 | ED | -2.6 | 65% | 8.3% | 27.3 | 21% | |
| 8 | IDL | -2.9 | 79% | 4.1% | 26.0 | 25% | |
| 9 | RB | -3.5 | 100% | 5.9% | 25.2 | 12% | |
| 10 | WR | -3.7 | 100% | 7.8% | 26.1 | 25% |
Keep is the incumbent re-sign band. Contract structure and measured risk flags stay visible beside it.
| Player | Pos | Expiring cap | Gtd | Keep | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Davenport | ED | 0.9% | 66% | Low | |
| Josh Paschal | ED | 0.9% | 63% | Low | |
| Pat O'Connor | ED | 0.5% | 7% | Low | |
| Craig Reynolds | RB | 0.5% | 0% | Elevated | age-cliff |
Free agents at this team's top-3 need groups, screened to external-buy bands below Severe. External buys keep under 80% of platform production 43% of the time; the band prices that ladder.
| Player | Pos | From | Expiring cap | External band | Forecast retention |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marshon Lattimore | CB | WAS | 10.6% | High | n/a |
| James Bradberry | CB | PHI | 5.6% | High | n/a |
| Grant Delpit | S | CLE | 5.3% | High | n/a |
| Harrison Smith | S | MIN | 3.7% | High | n/a |
| Darius Slay | CB | PIT |
Built from the team needs ledger (validated against ten years of revealed draft and free-agency behavior) and the second-contract risk model. Odds, not verdicts. Browse the full free-agency class or return to the team page.
| 3.6% |
| High |
| n/a |
| Donovan Wilson | S | DAL | 3.1% | High | n/a |
| Jordan Whitehead | S | TB | 1.8% | High | n/a |