The War Room · 2026
Baltimore Ravens offseason brief
The roster state the front office faced entering the offseason, reconstructed from last season's snaps and the contract ledger. Needs predict behavior; the risk bands are odds, never verdicts.
QB room · franchise-vet
Franchise veteran on a market deal; the room is settled.
Need board
Ten position groups ranked against the other 31 teams. Draft prior is the measured chance a team in this need state spends a top-100 pick there; corner priors deliberately ignore rank because corner drafting is need-insensitive, and the QB prior reads the room class above.
| Rank | Group | Need | Returning snaps | Cap committed | Age | Draft prior | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IDL | +3.3 | 38% | 1.9% | 30.5 | 26% | |
| 2 | TE | +1.8 | 40% | 1.9% | 28.3 | 22% | |
| 3 | OL | +1.5 | 57% | 1.4% | 26.9 | 43% | |
| 4 | ED | +1.3 | 57% | 0.4% | 27.5 | 29% | |
| 5 | RB | +1.0 | 52% | 2.3% | 29.9 | 17% | |
| 6 | QB | +0.7 | 81% | 16.1% | 29.1 | 9% | |
| 7 | WR | +0.5 | 76% | 1.8% | 27.2 | 39% | |
| 8 | CB | -0.9 | 67% | 1.4% | 27.0 | 26% | |
| 9 | LB | -4.1 | 98% | 4.4% | 26.3 | 17% | |
| 10 | S | -5.0 | 72% | 3.7% | 24.9 | 10% |
Own expiring contracts
Keep is the incumbent re-sign band; walk is the projected compensatory selection his departure earns two drafts out, gross of the net-loss formula.
| Player | Pos | Expiring cap | Gtd | Keep | Walk | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeAndre Hopkins | WR | 1.8% | 100%+ | Elevated · ret 0.89 | R6 comp | age-cliff |
| Kyle Van Noy | ED | 1.5% | 0% | Low · ret 0.99 | R6 comp | |
| Justice Hill | RB | 1.2% | 74% | Elevated · ret 0.89 | R7 comp | age-cliff, non-portable |
| Jalyn Armour-Davis | CB | 0.5% | 17% | Low | no comp |
Market targets
Free agents at this team's top-3 need groups, screened to external-buy bands below Severe. External buys keep under 80% of platform production 43% of the time; the band prices that ladder.
| Player | Pos | From | Expiring cap | External band | Forecast retention |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No scored free agents at the top need groups this class. | |||||
Built from the team needs ledger (validated against ten years of revealed draft and free-agency behavior) and the second-contract risk model. Odds, not verdicts. Browse the full free-agency class or return to the team page.